History lessons on managed inventory agreements
Distributors have learned a great deal about managed inventory agreements in the last
decade. Can we carry the knowledge forward? What have we learned from the past decade regarding managed
inventory agreements? Have we learned from our successes and our failures? Are we smarter
and wiser? Or, have we learned little, dooming us to repeat the same mistakes we made last
year, five years ago and 10 years ago?
To answer those questions, we assembled a panel of
respected experts, all of whom sport a lengthy resume in the areas of integrated supply,
vendor-managed inventory and systems contracting. Each is battle-tested, and has the scars
to prove it.
The panel includes Dick Decker, director of integrated
supply for Industrial Distribution Group, based in Atlanta; Jim Narus, a professor at Wake
Forest University in Charlotte, N.C., with expertise in industrial distribution; and Scott
Benfield, director of marketing for Columbia Pipe & Supply in Chicago and an
author/consultant to distribution.
Benfield served as the moderator and contributor for the
article.
The forum took place recently over the Internet, as
panelists provided their insight and commentary to questions e-mailed to the group by
Benfield on behalf of Progressive Distributor.
The goal was to take a look at what the distribution
industry has learned about managed agreements. Specifically, what did we know about the
subject 10 years ago? In hindsight, were we on the right path? Did we truly know what we
were getting into? And, did we set this valuable tool up for a substantial derailment?
The answers from our panelists showed that industrial
distribution was both visionary and partially blind. For example, we correctly predicted a
need to evolve to meet a changing world and a changing marketplace.
We knew that the competitive pressures would
increase, says Decker. We knew technology would change the way we go to
market. Driving out costs would start to become a priority.
Says Narus: We knew the importance of total quality
management and ISO standards, and the need to manage and minimize total costs.
Adds Benfield, We understood the concepts and that
technology had reached the point that it was possible to successfully streamline supply
chains. Any number of supply chain consultants (Frank Lynn, Bill McCleave and Mike Hammer)
had talked the concepts and it was not long before manufacturers began to demand these
services from their suppliers.
Sounds pretty good, right?
But the panel admits there was plenty we didnt know.
In the beginning, most managed inventory agreements
were still focused only on product and not process, says Decker. Partnering
was just a word and not a practice. Process management and activity-based cost (ABC)
models were starting to be utilized. I also do not believe many distributors saw the speed
at which integrated supply would grow.
Narus says we got more than we bargained for.
There is a definite trend on the part of the customer
to pursue one-stop shopping, he says. Senior management and Wall Street have
placed considerable pressure on managers to achieve growth and profitability. As
distributors rushed to provide value-added services, many quickly found they didnt
have the ability to implement those services (basically, talk is cheap).
Moreover, theyve increasingly found that
although customers want such services, they are often unwilling to pay extra for them.
As a result, many distributors find themselves offering allegedly value-added services
that take them away from their core capabilities, add tremendous costs and provide
marginal profits.
Benfield approaches the distributor financial and
capability sides of the process by saying, Most distributors (especially smaller
ones) were sending a local seller or branch manager to negotiate a seven-figure deal with
the top financial and purchasing guys of a Fortune 500 company. Who do you think was
better prepared to come out on top of the deal? Also, quite a few wholesalers had one or
two large accounts that commanded a lot of their revenues. If the large manufacturers
wanted to squeeze out a deal in their favor, and they knew their power over the local
supplier, it was not hard to do.
Integrator, know thy costs
In general, the panel points to the need
for a keen understanding of process costs. Interestingly, Decker and Benfield appeal for
activity-based costing and management. Narus, however, goes beyond process costs and makes
a more fundamental observation, pointing out that many distributors rushed to provide new
services and either could not implement them or customers would not pay extra for them.
The observation that customers dont want to pay extra
for services speaks to a lack of market research and preparation by distributors to fully
understand customer needs. The problem is compounded by the intangible nature of services
and the curious, but costly, practice of distributors bundling services with products, as
opposed to unbundling products and making their services fee-based.
Some distributors now admit to accepting many unprofitable
agreements. Their pricing models were product-based, but they lost money on service
transactions. In hindsight, would it have been better for distributors to charge a fee for
their managed inventory agreements? The panel agreed with that position, with some notable
exceptions.
In general, firms neither measure value nor the total
costs of providing an expanded service offering. They merely throw darts at these
issues, says Narus. Those that guess right succeed and those that guess wrong
fail. Not surprisingly, most firms guess wrong but no one ever hears about them in trade
articles. I find very few companies (distributor or otherwise) have data to know which
customers are actually profitable. If you dont know these numbers, how can you
negotiate a profitable contract?
Says Benfield, I have seen very few of the larger
deals that stand up to a good ABC cash flow analysis. I did a piece for this magazine
(Sept./Oct. 98) that modeled a pro forma pricing of a mock agreement using weighted
average cost of capital as a hurdle. I found many distributors had a very poor
understanding of basic financial principles to judge the soundness of their pricing. If
sellers cant provide their owners with a good financial analysis for accepting these
agreements, they should get training to allow them to do so.
There was one distributor that I believed had cracked
the code on service fees. He shipped all orders to the account direct. He controlled the
tool crib and billed the customer for all of the operations to support it including labor,
inventory management and bookkeeping. He billed process fees separate from product
fees.
Decker agrees that some distributors entered into
unprofitable agreements.
Probably the most compelling problem was inventory
investment, he says. Obsolete (products) and specials were all dynamics that
usually created unprofitable agreements. What most knowledgeable distributors are using
today is a pro forma model and activity-based costing to understand the agreements.
The panel disagrees on what makes managed inventory
agreements unprofitable. Narus alludes to poor measurements of value and costs, and
differentiates between the two. Benfield refers to poor financial training and modeling.
Decker, while mentioning ABC modeling, focuses on unique or obsolete inventory costs.
In a recent pricing seminar for industrial distributors led
by Benfield, only 15 to 20 percent of the attendees said they utilize activity-based
costing. Fewer still do any formalized service research satisfaction or loyalty
which is the bedrock for measuring service value.
Many distributors, it seems, want the big business of
managed agreements but are not willing to invest in new tools to measure their financial
validity. An attitude of sell it now and worry about it later still permeates
distributor pricing of these arrangements. The net result, of course, is that unprepared
sellers take arrangements that are financially unattractive and often ruin their own
financial health without proper evaluative tools.
What type agreements work? What types dont?
Successful agreements offer
consistency with simple measurable processes and expectations, says Benfield.
The more complex the arrangement with specialized needs, the more the probability of
an unprofitable agreement. I would like to see more agreements that have documented
processes and expectations that are based on fact, not windage. I do believe that
successful distributors will strive to offer a template by market segment for
these agreements.
Narus says he is unaware of any data to say one way or the
other which types of agreements are working. Distributors are increasingly offering
standardized service offerings, he says.
Adds Decker, I do not believe there is a clear-cut
winner in what industrial customers are leaning toward. Execution of the agreement seems
the most critical key to any form of managed inventory agreement. Distributors outsell
their ability to perform, and industrial customers expectations are not saliently
clear. As the marketplace matures, there is an offering of standard type services.
How will electronic commerce impact managed inventory
agreements?
The auction environment will erode margins,
says Decker. Industrial customers will lose textbook expertise and service from
e-commerce. There will be a large learning environment on how to effectively use the
Internet without eroding technical expertise and service.
Benfield believes e-commerce will initially bring
transaction costs down. But, he warns, transaction costs are not product costs and
need to be measured and priced separately to price them correctly.
Adds Narus, E-business (and not just e-commerce) is
facilitating
supply chain management. Better margins will go to whoever manages the inter-firm supply
chain management system. If it is the distributor, their profits will go up. If the
customer manages the chain, the customers profits will increase.
The panel agrees that prices will go down, but for
different reasons. Benfield and Narus point to cost decreases (process efficiencies),
while Decker believes auction pricing due to greater price shopping will bring costs down.
The cost savings for e-business are real and will be
reflected in lower purchase prices. Decker, however, has an interesting concern. He says
end-user customers will drive down product price but want the same service for technical
support.
The ability to shop product price will increase, but
what about valued services? he asks.
Crystal ball gazing
Moving forward, it will be increasingly
important for distributors to unbundle services from products. Products will sell for less
than they sell today, but services selected by customers will be tacked on. In other
words, customers can buy the product for less, but if they want technical support,
expedited shipping, application advice, special ordering, etc., they will have to pay
extra. There also will be a need to market value-added services and receive fee income
from their consumption.
Lessons learned
According to Scott Benfield, distributors should heed the following lessons learned from
the past decade of managed agreements: Distributors have
over-promised and under-delivered. This is not a criticism of ability but simply an
acknowledgment that the idea of managed agreements neatly integrated across differing
commodity groups is more difficult than distributors initially imagined. Large
arrangements require a tremendous amount of work and up-front planning. A few distributors
perform the process exceedingly well.
Many distributors still dont have the right tools. Leaders
in the field use tools such as activity-based costing, service research and good financial
models. Often, companies that dont use these instruments accept unprofitable
agreements and rob service capacity from their profitable customers.
Cost reduction and supply chain management are here to stay. They
were budding ideas in the early 90s and are in full bloom. E-commerce will help
reduce costs, but there will be a learning curve on its usage.
Fee-based services will become more of a necessity. As we lower
supply chain costs, the customer will force suppliers to offer a menu of services separate
from products. Distributors that make this a priority will prosper; those that dont
will fill low-margin orders for commodities. |
Finally, the last two questions asked panelists about
successful agreements of the last decade and what type of training should cover future
arrangements.
Training will revolve around several areas including:
financial analysis using activity costs, an ability to flow chart and cost processes, and
an ability to assemble and manage a project team will all be needed to manage the
agreements in the future, says Benfield.
Narus sites Graingers integrated supply model as one
of the more successful fee-based models.
I think that W.W. Grainger is on top of such service
offerings, he says. They seem to be the most innovative and successful at this
point in time. Training should be offered on service cost management.
Successful agreements all have senior management
ownership,
says Decker. In the future, compensation will be tied to productivity (saving the
customer money) and profitability. Employees will have to train their associates in
process management.
While managed agreements of one sort or another have been
the rage, many have involved cost shifts from customer to distributor to
distributors vendor. Lasting supply chain improvement is a difficult and arduous
task. Technology, education, rethinking what distributors are selling (service vs.
product), and proper management tools (ABC, discounted pro forma analysis, service
research) are things distributors must perpetuate from the past to help define a more
profitable future.
Scott Benfield is a consultant to distribution. He has
written two books for the National Association of Wholesaler-Distributors and also works
as a marketing executive for a top 50 U.S. distributor. He can be reached at
bnfldgp@aol.com, or 630-428-9311.
This article originally appeared in the May/June '00
issue of Progressive Distributor. Copyright 2000.
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