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“Buy”
the numbers:
What financials say about the company
The
fifth in our series of articles for distributors that are contemplating
a sale of their business focuses on the insight financials provide
prospective buyers.
by
Jane E. Baynard and Scott Benfield
As
you move forward with the sale of your wholesale distribution business,
prospective buyers will primarily focus on your financial documents
throughout their decision-making and valuation process. In our last
article, we concentrated on the importance of the “corporate scrub”
to fully highlight the attractiveness and financial strengths of your
business and command a favorable price. The “pre-sale positioning”
successfully acted as the bait and buyers have started nibbling at your
offer. The financials give them something to sink their teeth into so
they will get hooked.
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Buyers
will look toward your primary financial documents –
your balance sheet, income statement, and financial performance
ratios –
to assess the meat of your company. These documents give buyers
insight to your company, providing them with a snapshot of your
financial standing and a tool to compare your performance relative to
others in the business. Buyers will especially look for consistency,
growth and comparative success within your financial documents.
We
touched on the four types of value standards in the previous
article. Fair market value,
intrinsic value, investment value and fair value are all popular
approaches to valuing businesses, and each valuation method emphasizes
particular financial documents.
Because
each wholesale distribution business has unique strengths and
competitive advantages, we recommend consulting an acquisitions
specialist to develop a custom approach to value your business based on
one of the approaches but using an appropriate combination of valuation
methods to realize the most favorable value of your firm.
Asset-based
method: Focusing on the balance
sheet
The balance sheet represents the tangible assets a buyer will acquire
and the liability obligations they will take on when they purchase your
company.
In
particular, they look to the value of your net identifiable assets
(NIA), which is the excess of the fair market value of your assets over
your liabilities. The NIA figure helps buyers value your business as
they identify the tangible value of your firm.
When determining the
value of your firm’s NIA, you must distinguish between the book value
and the market value of your assets and liabilities.
Prospective buyers take
interest in the market value of your net assets, which, with the
exception of cash, will likely differ from the book value.
For example, depending
on your method of accounting for inventory, the market value of your
inventory will likely differ from your book value. Similarly, the book
value of a liability under a long-term lease contract will likely differ
from its present market value.
Moreover, if the
prospective buyer does not wish to continue with that lease under the
long-term contract, it could adversely affect their valuation of your
company. With appropriate planning, business owners who anticipate
selling their business should avoid extended contracts in the years
prior to a divestiture.
Business owners should
also appreciate that the market value of their net assets will differ
from their book value, and plan appropriately to present the market
value of their net assets to prospective buyers.
In some cases where a
business is losing money, the business is worth only the value of the
NIA. In this case we term the valuation “as if in liquidation.”
Sometimes other distributors can use
your physical capital for their own purposes because they have a direct
use for your plant and equipment and they can capitalize on your
leasehold improvements.
In such a case, termed
“as a going concern,” the buyer may pay a premium over the value of
your NIA to acquire the net asset package. The same is true when the
buyer has a rational concern that the firm’s suppliers and customers
will leave with the owner’s departure.
Any buyer willing to
pay a premium is said to be a strategic buyer as opposed to a financial
buyer. Strategic implies they can leverage your assets above their fair
market value.
Remember, the
definition of fair market reflects the consensus opinion among all the
buyers and sellers constituting the market for a company as to its
worth, rather than the opinion of any individual investor. Strategic
buyers are specific buyers, not hypothetical ones.
In the majority of
cases where the business remains profitable, the balance sheet and NIA
comprises a base for your business’s value. The market value of your
company’s net assets serves as a starting point, and then appropriate
adjustments modify that value to incorporate the value of expected
earnings, intangible assets, business relationships and other factors.
When preparing for the
sale of your business, as an owner you must keep in mind the importance
of accurately reflecting the value of your net assets to prospective
buyers. Buyers will look at the balance sheet as the foundation of your
company and expect an accurate reflection of your net assets to serve as
a basis of their valuation.
However, as you already
appreciate, the value of your business encompasses much more than just
the building you work from and the money in the bank.
Income
statement methods: Cash flow and
income
Along with a company’s net assets, a buyer also needs an accurate
estimate of your company’s future earnings as seen on your income
statement.
In theory, the buyer should pay a premium
equal to the present value of the company’s future earnings.
Prospective buyers consider both the solidity and quality of earnings
based on the information contained in your income statement.
When looking at your
income statements, buyers want to see consistent earnings and revenue
growth. They will pay close attention to earnings growth in recent
years, and model earnings growth to predict future revenues.
Therefore, business
owners must take care to manage earnings and expenses, especially in the
three to five years preceding a sale of a business. Consistent growth
and solid earnings will give your prospective buyer confidence in your
firm, and will likely reward you for that confidence.
A simple numerical
example explains how a prospective buyer would likely value your
company’s future cash flows:
| Calculation
of present value of future cash flows |
| Year |
Projected cash flow |
Discount rate* |
Present value** |
| Year 1 |
$950,000 |
.800 |
$760,00 |
| Year 2 |
$1,025,000 |
.640 |
$656,000 |
| Year 3 |
$1,125,000 |
.512 |
$576,000 |
| Year 4 |
$1,250,000 |
.410 |
$513,000 |
| Year 5 |
$1,375,000 |
.328 |
$451,000 |
| Total |
$5,725,000 |
|
$2,956,000 |
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*Based
on a 25 percent ROR. The discount rate declines in each subsequent year. Note: even
though projected cash flows increase every year their present
value declines because of the inverse relationship with the
discount rate, which is not
always the case.
**Present
value of the sum of pro forma DCF. This figure is added to the
residual value of the business to arrive at the total value for
the company. |
In the above example,
the buyer would have first projected your firm's future cash flows based
on information from your recent income statements.
Next, the buyer selects
a reasonable rate of return they expect to realize from their
investment, usually in the 20 percent to 50 percent range; in this case
the buyer selected a 25 percent rate of return. The selected rate of
return gives the buyer a standardized discount rate used by financial
calculators or found in financial tables at your bookstore.
You can think of the
discount value as a percentage. One dollar a year from now is worth 80
percent of its value, or 80 cents, today based on the 25 percent rate of
return discount rate used above. In the above example, a buyer that
expects a 25 percent rate of return on their investment will pay $2.9
million today for the above $5.7 million of cash flows over the next
five years.
Occasionally, the
pressure to manage earnings in the years before an anticipated sale can
lead managers to artificially inflate earnings under the assumption that
higher earnings due to lower expenses will enhance the value of the
business. Managers have been known to cut discretionary spending in
functional areas of the business in the years preceding a transaction to
make their earnings appear more attractive.
However, savvy buyers
actually penalize this short-term profitability if they believe it
adversely affects the long-term success of the business. Buyers
appreciate that advertising, research and development, equipment
maintenance, quality control and other such expenses benefit the
long-term success of a company. Buyers also pay careful attention to
detrimental spending controls that artificially inflate earnings.
The income statement
gives prospective buyers insight into your business’ success, and
allows them to estimate the value of your firm’s future cash flows.
Your recent income
statements should clearly demonstrate your firm’s earnings
consistency, accuracy and expense management. An acquisition specialist
will look out for quality of earnings issues that could undermine buyer
confidence. If your income statement builds up buyer confidence in your
earnings, you should receive an appropriate premium when you sell your
business.
Comps: Financial ratios
If you’re working with a mergers and acquisitions professional,
chances are they will provide information about what firms in your
industry trade for.
This means either what other
distributors have sold for in out-and-out acquisitions or it can mean a
comparison with public companies. Either way, using comps, or industry
comparables, is one method for giving prospective buyers a means for
comparing not only what companies sell for, but often more importantly,
performance among similar firms in your industry.
Prospective buyers look for more that
just your net assets and expected earnings. They want to see how well
you stack up against the rest of the pack, so they often look at
financial ratios.
Financial ratios provide an unbiased,
quantitative comparison to help buyers identify your strengths and
weaknesses among your peer firms. It also helps prospective buyers
within the same industry identify synergistic opportunities to
capitalize on your firm's unique strengths, and benefit your firm with
their own strengths.
Cross-company
comparison through financial ratios gives buyers insight into your
firm's unique strengths and weaknesses. A prospective buyer will want to
compare your financials to industry averages and industry leaders.
Often,
distribution firms have carved out lucrative niche markets that give
them market share leadership within a market segment. When selling your
business, owners should seek to quantify your unique accomplishments
with financial ratios highlighting your market share leadership,
industry out-performance or whatever quantifies your unique strengths.
Financial ratios also
faithfully represent your weaknesses relative to other firms in your
industry, allowing prospective buyers to identify synergistic
opportunities. You should use your financial ratios as a tool to find a
good fit for your firm; you can match your firm up with an appropriate
buyer, like piecing together a puzzle, to find a mutually beneficial fit.
Buyers will look toward
your firm’s financial ratios to identify opportunities for them to
benefit from your unique strengths, and for your firm to benefit from
theirs.
In summary, the
financials of your distribution business serve as the primary
evaluative source for your company.
You attracted
prospective buyers with your memorandum, now they will look toward your
balance sheet, income statement and financial ratios to find the hard
facts necessary to evaluate their potential for a successful acquisition
of your firm.
These financial
documents give prospective buyers the tools to take the next step:
pricing your firm.
When deciding to sell
your business, it is important to have your financial documents in order
and ready for buyer scrutiny.
Are your firm’s
financials ready for buyer scrutiny? We have developed a worksheet that
can help you estimate the readiness of your financials; just send us an
e-mail request and we will forward it straightaway. In the next
installment of our series, we will focus on pricing your firm and
determining its value.
Jane
E. Baynard is an investment banker and Scott Benfield is a consultant
for distribution. They have co-authored two books on wholesale
distribution, including Pricing
Management: Capturing Value for Distributors, and can be
reached at their respective e-mail addresses: Jane E. Baynard at jb@baymengroup.com
and Scott Benfield at bnfldgp@aol.com.
Research support for this article was provided by Jonathan Perkinson.
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