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Is
the industry model obsolete?
by Neil Gillespie,
Channel Marketing Group
Historically,
electrical and other construction material distributors have largely
acted as sales extensions for the manufacturers they represent.
Judging by statistical evidence and the recent lament of distributors
we know, the profitability of that relationship is beginning to break
down for the distributor for two major reasons, in my opinion.
First, most construction
and industrial material and equipment industries are highly
fragmented. There are a lot of buyers and sellers, and that makes it
hard to have an efficient supply chain with standardized processes and
data.
Second, since the first
merchant set up his tent in the Mediterranean, merchants bought at one
price from the craftsman, and sold at market price. We’ll call this
"markup pricing mentality." Its purpose is to cover your
costs and leave some room for profit, or charge what the market will
bear, hoping it’s profitable.
Maybe
markup pricing mentality has run its course, for two reasons. One, the
market isn’t bearing as much these days. The market can get access
to more and more price information more quickly these days, and that
will only get worse for sellers. The other reason is that distributors
really don’t have much control over price and margins any more. Fact
is, they never really did, but it was OK because price pressure
wasn’t as bad as it is now. But price pressure is fierce now, and
the manufacturer controls 80 percent or more of that equation if you
believe the PAR reports statistics on average gross profit margins.
A
shrinking industry economy has its effects, too.
Distributors, hungry for business, will cut the margin to
single digits to get gross margin in the door. Manufacturers can point
fingers all day and say that distributors are out there
“outdumbing” each other, as financial guru Ron Foster used to say.
But these cases are the severe cases at the tip of the underlying
iceberg that represent a larger, more serious problem with the
industry model.
Distributors don't
sell their value
The manufacturer’s value-added is in the things they sell, and
the direct labor, materials and manufacturing overhead is in excess of
55 percent of their total costs most of the time. So it makes sense to
sell products for a price. But does it make sense for the distributor
to do so, too? Maybe not, in the face of the squeeze play that’s
been developing over the last decade, as information technology helps
customers make smarter, tougher buying decisions and enjoy increased
access to competitive pricing among sellers.
Squeeze play
Customers are asking for more services and a lower price . . . and
getting them. On the other side of the squeeze play, responding to
slowing demand, manufacturers are cutting back on shipping days and
inventories and are shifting sales and marketing activities to
distributors, who often unwittingly bear the cost of these. Or, at
best, they are aware this is happening but are not well equipped to
assess the cost, suffering the consequences later. The result will
ultimately force distributors to cut people, inventory and customer
service performance. And that’s not good.
I
repeat: Distributors have historically bought products at a certain
price, and marked them up to, hopefully, cover their costs. As long as
they covered their costs, things were fine. But things aren’t fine
any more.
Is there a fix?
If the industry model is obsolete, what’s the root of the problem?
Since distributors don’t sell their value added, that puts a lot of
pressure on price to exceed costs, and a lot of pressure on knowing
your costs for each kind of transaction, which is a problem. Most
distributors don’t know their costs.
Sure,
distributors know their costs, you might say. But they only know them
as an aggregated abstraction called the operating statement. If you
have the PAR report, you can quote what percentage of sales each
ledger account represents. (That goes for manufacturers, too, for the
most part). However, few distributors have real knowledge of the cost
of activities that make the operating statement come out the way it
does. Maybe the fix is to calculate and sell your value added.
I’m
not talking about selling quantified user benefits and cost avoidance
from fewer mistakes. That’s fine if you’re bright and
mathematically inclined enough to do it, and miraculous if you can get
a customer to buy based on it. I’m talking about selling services as
discrete line items as opposed to products only. The sole practice of
pricing by marking up products can only serve to make an industry that
doesn’t have a good handle on its costs to eventually implode, as
customers put more and more pressure on price and manufacturers look
to distributors to pick up more sales, marketing and logistics
activities.
As
extensions of manufacturers, distributors sell products, but it might
be better for the industry if distributors invoiced the product at
cost, and charged the customer for services. If you really knew your
cost of services, it might be a lot easier to price these more
accurately in relation to costs, hence easier to stay ahead of costs.
But
that assumes a distributor knows what to charge for services. In order
to know what to charge, you either price for value received, which is
more nebulous and harder to prove. Another way is to calculate what
the cost of activities are and charging for these. That method might
have a better chance of returning distributor to a higher state of
profitability.
OK,
that’s Utopia, you might say. You might also offer that it
wouldn’t stick, because too many distributors would continue to give
the services away.
And,
if the distributor invoiced the product at cost, that would expose
cost. Ouch, if you’re a manufacturer.
Oops, there goes the
manufacturer's cover
That’s another problem. If product cost were exposed to customers,
the squeeze play could back up a lot more on the manufacturer.
Customers would be giving distributors last looks that exposed
manufacturer costs, exposing the differences in price manufacturers
offer to distributors when a customer got a price from two different
distributors offering the same brand. Not to mention putting more
pressure on manufacturers, which, as an industry, aren’t terribly
profitable, either.
However,
if distributors behaved this way, manufacturers couldn’t do much
about it. Distributors can sell at whatever price they want to, for
the most part. The federal legislature and Department of Justice took
care of that in the early seventies.
This
is all a lot to think about. It would work if everybody stepped
forward and did it at the same time. But, as the saying goes in golf,
you have to “hit the ball from where it lies.”
Right
now, as much as I hate to mix metaphors, the industry model is in a
bit of a sand trap.
What do YOU think?
If you’d like to comment or offer solutions to the “squeeze
play," answer our survey at: www.channelmkt.com/brokenmodel.htm.
You’ll
be privy to how others answered the survey right after you answer the
survey.
Neil
Gillespie is principal of Channel Marketing Group, consultants to
distributors and manufacturers. Reach Neil at ngillespie@channelmkt.com
or (412) 490-6950.
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