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Power shift in the
channel
Distributors and
the purchasing of "off brands"
by Scott Benfield
For more than 100
years, North American Distribution earned value by sourcing and
reselling various goods manufactured in the U.S.
economy. Distribution’s primary value add has been the ability to
break bulk from different manufacturers and aggregate disparate
products into a value-added bundle for the end user.
An example is the
plumbing distributor who breaks bulk from fixture, pipe, valve and
accessory vendors, warehouses these goods, and aggregates them into
shipments for plumbing contractors.
In essence, a
shipment includes parts from each of the vendor groups. In this
way, distributors across 100 economic sectors carved out a value
niche in the U.S. economy. Today, distribution passes approximately
25 percent of the U.S. GDP through its numerous warehouses and
purchases from tens of thousands of manufacturers.
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There is, however, a
fundamental change going on within these mature and slow moving
industrial channels. Initially, domestic manufacturers developed
brands and these brands became recognized and identified with
distributors and industries. In the early history of distribution,
these brands were new technologies and carried prestige for the
distributor. Fast forward to today and many of these technologies
are considered commodities. Their value is not in a changing
technology, but in which manufacturer can make an acceptable level
of quality at the lowest price.
Many of these
commodities are part of extensive product lines and sizable
manufacturers.
Consider a
stainless steel fitting for a high purity system that is core
product for a division of a leading Fortune 250 company. The
company has been around for more than 100 years and has sales in the
billions of dollars. The fitting, although a tiny part of the
company’s overall sales, is strategically aligned with the
industries of the parent company and fits within other products
manufactured by other divisions.
The fitting,
however, is a mature technology and the parent company has moved the
manufacturing to foreign shores in the last decade.
The reason for this
move is twofold: The first is to get the labor cost out of the
product, and the second is to capture growth markets in the quickly
industrializing nations of the world. The fundamental change
happens, however, when a foreign company takes the fitting design
and manufactures it, at reasonable quality levels, and makes it
available to the U.S. distributor at 30 percent to 40 percent less
than the branded item.
At this “discount”,
and for a distributor who is fortunate to make 2 percent of sales
income before taxes, the temptation to buy the “off brand” is too
great. If the distributor buys the fitting, sells it to industrial
customers who don’t seem to care if it is an off brand, then the
sales erosion of the domestic brand begins.
And, instead of the
100-year-old vaunted brand controlling the power in the channel, the
distributor now has the chance to control the power by their ability
to source from a much less expensive, but equal in quality, foreign
supplier.
In the past decade,
we have noticed this scenario being played out dozens of times in
the distribution base of North America. Some examples from our work
will illustrate the pervasiveness of the problem:
• A cooperative of non-competing U.S.
wholesalers sets up a central warehousing facility and purchases
foreign items, by the container, for the cleaning industry. The
goods are distributed to member warehouses as needed. Almost
overnight, two leading U.S. manufacturers are out of business.
• A flooring distributor, tired of
manufacturing glitches and ongoing conflict with a major supplier,
takes raw material from U.S. and Canadian mills, ships it to China
where it is cut and finished into flooring that is significantly
less expensive and better in quality than the domestic product. The
distributor sells the product under a proprietary brand name.
• An electrical distributor, out of
curiosity, purchases switches, switch plates and outlet boxes from a
Chinese manufacturer. The products are almost identical to those
made in the same country by a branded, U.S. based parent company
more than 100 years old. The distributor mixes a container of the
off brand products in the warehouse bins with the branded product.
The off brand products are sold to electrical contractors without a
hitch. The price paid is 40 percent less than the branded product.
In dozens of
vertical markets, we have witnessed stories like these where off
brand products are being sold by distributors with great
success. And, none of these relationships used traditional
manufacturer representatives, buying groups or cooperatives.
In essence, the
assault on powerful brands, by off brand manufacturers has
begun. And, the power of the longstanding brand is being diminished
by the distributor who once identified with the branded
supplier. Too often, the branded manufacturer is, almost overnight,
left out of a 100-year-old relationship and established channel.
The distributor,
who has often been at the mercy of the powerful branded manufacturer
now has the ability to control the power in the channel by sourcing
off brands. In essence, the product has reached commodity status and
the brand is of nominal value. What matters is that the product is
of a reasonable quality and the source of supply is reliable; the
distributor can do the rest.
A rising tide or
a blip on the radar?
The seminal question on the minds of manufacturers, reps,
cooperatives and distributors in industrial channels, is whether off
brands are a way of the future or a short-term event? We believe the
sourcing of off brands is a rising tide that will help redefine
channel relationships, channel structures and channel power in the
coming decades. Those who understand this power shift can react to
it and some can prosper greatly from it. Those who simply go about
business as usual may not have the usual business in the foreseeable
future.
The primary source
of off brands will be China. But, as the Chinese economy matures,
other global sources will spring up. To understand how much
investment has flowed into China, primarily for manufacturing, one
needs only to understand the growth of investment and flow of goods
to and from the rapidly industrializing country.
Since 1979 when
China and the U.S. established formal diplomatic relations, the
trade volume has grown from $2.5 billion to $150 billion per
year. As of the end of 2004, there were 45,000 U.S. investments in
China totaling $48 billion.1
In addition to
impressive growth in U.S. trade and investment, U.S. companies buy
only a fraction of the goods they could buy from China. In a recent
survey of 39 U.S. companies, “respondents estimated that these
companies buy only 30 percent of the goods they could buy…” from
China. Furthermore, the estimate is that “the figure will rise to 50
percent three years from now.”2
Because of the
investment and belief that more U.S. companies will source an
increasing amount of materials from China, the likelihood that there
will be a greater influx of Chinese and foreign off brands is
assured. If China and other foreign countries as a source of supply
are secure, there will be significant changes in established channel
relationships. These changes are, as of yet, unknown but they can be
approximated given the nascent trends in industrial markets.
Decline of
traditional channel supports
As off brands grow, their purchase supplants many of the
traditional roles in the industrial channel. In the past 10 years,
we have witnessed a merger and general decline in independent
manufacturer’s representatives. While this observation is not
empirically validated, it is our experience that, as companies moved
manufacturing offshore and began pursuit of foreign markets, they
were less willing and able to pay traditional fees to manufacturer’s
representatives to sell into mature domestic markets.
As the first
foreign off brands arrived, the domestic brand was under extreme
price pressure. The expendable costs in the channel were often
independent representatives. And, there have been any number of rep
firms who have consolidated simply to survive. Sales support hasn’t
been the only casualty of the foreign supply of off brands.
Cooperatives and buying groups are often left out of the picture.
Because off brand
manufacturers are not part of established channels, they initially
seek sales through any means possible. Often these sales are to
master distributors or large distributors who have the ability to
purchase container loads of products and set up agreements.
As these companies
become established, they do not always seek relationships with
cooperatives and buying groups. Because the companies compete on
price and have scant marketing budgets, they are reticent to give 2
percent to 5 percent of the product price to marketing groups or
reps and prefer to deal directly with the wholesale buyer.
The impact on
cooperatives and buying groups from off brand manufacturers is
unknown, but the potential impact on these channel intermediaries
could be substantial. Also, working against the established channels
is the consolidation in the wholesale sector that is expected to
remain strong.
There are
approximately 220,000 wholesale firms in durable goods markets in
the U.S.3 There
is also a general decline in the number of firms at a rate of
approximately 1 percent to 2 percent per year.4
The distribution of
revenue size of wholesale firms favors off brand
manufacturers. Depending on the industry, the vast majority of
wholesale firms are small and less than $10 million in sales.
However, it is not
unusual to find the top 5 percent of firms in revenue size to have
more than 60 percent of a sector’s sales, and the top firms are
often those where consolidation is the most active.
And, the larger
firms are those with the expertise, size and wherewithal to source
direct from the foreign manufacturer. In essence, the dynamics of
size and consolidation in the distribution base favor the off brand
manufacturer when the large are literally getting larger and have
more of a propensity to source direct.
Why can’t
domestic companies compete?
It is a foregone conclusion that manufacturing has moved
offshore primarily because of the huge disparity in wages. U.S.
manufacturing wages hover around $17
5
per hour while the average wage is $2.50 per hour in Mexico and 88
cents per hour in China.6
It is not unusual
to find many industrial goods with traditional U.S. brand names made
in foreign countries. The question that begs asking is: Why, if U.S.
companies have operations in foreign countries, do their products
cost 30 percent or more than off brands made in the same countries?
A contributing
factor to the price disparity, are the managerial and executive
wages of U.S. manufacturers. Many domestic manufacturers, while
moving plants to foreign shores, still have R&D and other corporate
functions stateside. R&D and product management for industrial
products are traditionally done by engineers. Salaries for U.S.
engineers can be 40 percent to 80 percent higher than for qualified
engineers in other countries.7
In addition,
salaries for U.S. executives are astronomical compared to their
counterparts in other countries. In one survey, the top tier of
American CEOs earns 475 times the wage of the average employee. By
comparison, in other industrialized nations, this ratio is 24 to 13
times the average employee wage.8
The so-called
“marketing organization” where manufacturing moved offshore but
marketing, R&D and executives remained stateside may be in
trouble. With the disparity in engineering costs, excessive
executive pay and emerging growth markets that have unique R&D
needs, the marketing organization concept is appearing less
substantial over time.
While U.S.
companies have moved manufacturing offshore, their employees in
engineering and executive roles may prove too costly. This is a
contributing factor to the inability to compete in the more mature
parts of their product offerings.
Increasingly,
domestic manufacturers, while having moved plants to low wage
countries, may be pressed to add value in unique ways or may find
themselves in trouble.
What’s a branded
manufacturer to do?
The field of industrial marketing has progressed from
product-focused to supply chain to wrap-around services in the past
two decades.
From our
perspective, the product-driven model began to fade sometime in the
1990s and was replaced by the supply chain model. From the supply
chain perspective, 40 percent or more of a product’s cost resided in
moving it through the channel.
EDI, channel
streamlining, information sharing and better planning with
distribution were the means to drive these costs out.
Recently, we have
seen evidence of service bundling with mature industrial products as
a means to combat low cost off brands. For example, instead of
selling paint, PPG Industries moved forward in the channel and
offers painted parts.9
The idea is that industrial companies need to redefine their value
add and wrap services around their products.
Much of this comes
from Lou Gerstner’s successful turnaround of IBM, launching it as a
service provider as opposed to a hardware company.
While wrap-around
services have intellectual appeal, there are many industrial
products that simply don’t need them. Looking at the commodity
products common to distribution including copper and steel fittings,
electrical outlet boxes and switch plates, basic plumbing fixtures,
spring-loaded gauges, and so forth, there is little room for these
products to undergo a radical redefinition and/or absorb wrap-around
services.
If this is true,
then domestic brand manufacturers who depend on these staples to
absorb their manufacturing costs and contribute to their marketing
organizations may be in trouble.
And, this troubling
situation will likely grow as off brands find their way to
distributor shelves.
The extent of off
brands supplanting domestic brands is unknown but, from our work
with distributors across numerous vertical markets, we believe it is
an emerging trend. Distributors, who were once dependent on powerful
brands, may well inherit the balance of power in the industrial
channel by being able to choose “off brands” from foreign
manufacturers.
In doing this, the
larger distributor who can develop international relationships, buy
container loads of product and private label them where appropriate
has the upper hand.
To the extent that
distributors recognize the hand they are dealt will determine how
they grasp the power shift. For many domestic brands with high
costs, cooperatives dependent on domestic brands and smaller
distributors dependent on cooperatives, the future may not be as
bright unless they make significant changes.
Scott Benfield is
a consultant for distribution and industrial manufacturers. His
firm, Benfield Consulting, is based in Chicago and its services can
be reviewed at
www.benfieldconsulting.com. Scott can be reached at
(630)-428-9311 or bnfldgp@aol.com.
1 People’s
Daily Online, Buying Chinese Goods Saves Americans $100 Bln.
A Yea, Nov. 30, 2005.
2 Online
Journal of McKinsey, The challenges in Chinese procurement,
Hexter and Narayanan, October 2006.
3 US Census
Bureau, Durable Goods Wholesale Trade by size of enterprise,
2002.
4 Ibid, Decline
in percentage terms of Durable Goods Wholesalers from 1999
to 2002.
5 Bureau of
Labor Statistics, Hourly and Weekly Average Wage by Sector,
October 2006.
6 Ward’s Auto
World, China vs. Mexico, Byron Pope, June 1, 2006.
7 Outsourcing:
The Cause of Lower Salaries for US Engineers?, Outsourcing
Issues, Carol Kendrick, October 21, 2006.
8 Europe vs.
America, The New York Review of Books, Tony Judt, February
10, 2005, Vol. 52, No. 2.
9 Industrial
Strength Innovation, Business Week Online, Jeneanne Rae,
September 13, 2006.
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